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Polls DATA

Ohio U.S. Senate special election polls

Every public poll of this race we are allowed to show, newest first, each linked to the pollster’s own release.

9 polls shown. Averages are as of Nov. 3, 2026.

Average of the polls

  • Sherrod Brown D48.0%4 polls
  • Jon Husted R46.0%4 polls

Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted by 2.0 points in the average.

Average of the latest poll from each of 4 pollsters with interviews ending Oct. 5, 2026 to Nov. 3, 2026, weighted by recency and sample size. No pollster is adjusted for lean. How averages are computed

Which polls and what weight
Poll byInterviews endedSampleShare of average
InsiderAdvantageOct. 30, 20261,200 lv40.5%
Suffolk University Political Research CenterOct. 26, 2026500 lv21.5%
Marist PollOct. 18, 20261,176 lv22.1%
Rasmussen ReportsOct. 14, 2026901 lv15.9%

Polls left out of the average:

  • InsiderAdvantage, interviews ended Sept. 29, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
  • Suffolk University Political Research Center, interviews ended Sept. 27, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
  • Marist Poll, interviews ended Sept. 27, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
  • Quantus Insights, interviews ended Sept. 23, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
  • InsiderAdvantage, interviews ended Oct. 22, 2026: The same pollster has a later poll in the window.

Average over time

Ohio U.S. Senate special election: average over timeLine chart of the poll average from Oct. 6, 2026 to Nov. 3, 2026. Latest: Sherrod Brown 48.0; Jon Husted 46.0. Dots are single polls.40455055Oct. 6Oct. 18Nov. 3InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 30, 2026: Sherrod Brown 49%InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 30, 2026: Jon Husted 47%Suffolk University Political Research Center, Oct. 26, 2026: Sherrod Brown 47%Suffolk University Political Research Center, Oct. 26, 2026: Jon Husted 44%InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 22, 2026: Brown 47%InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 22, 2026: Husted 44%Marist Poll, Oct. 18, 2026: Brown 48%Marist Poll, Oct. 18, 2026: Husted 44%Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 14, 2026: Husted 49%Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 14, 2026: Brown 47%48.046.0
  • Sherrod Brown
  • Jon Husted
Lines show the average as of each date, using only polls with interviews ended by then. Dots are single polls. Dates start Oct. 6, 2026.

All polls, newest first

PollInterviewsSampleResultsRelease
Poll by InsiderAdvantageReleased Nov. 1, 20261,200 likely votersmargin of error ±2.83The release gives 1200 LV for the survey without a separate figure for each race.
  • Sherrod Brown 49%
  • Jon Husted 47%
  • Other 3%
  • Undecided 1%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Mixed mode: text and online panel
Poll by Suffolk University Political Research Centerfor USA TODAY Network OhioReleased Oct. 28, 2026500 likely votersmargin of error ±4.4
  • Sherrod Brown D 47%
  • Jon Husted R 44%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Live telephone interviews
Poll by InsiderAdvantageReleased Oct. 23, 20261,200 likely votersmargin of error ±2.83The release gives 1200 LV for the surveys without a separate figure for each state.
  • Brown 47%
  • Husted 44%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Mixed mode: text and online panel
Poll by Marist PollReleased Oct. 20, 20261,176 likely votersmargin of error ±4.5All 1,176 Ohio registered voters interviewed; the release does not give the likely-voter subsample size.
  • Brown D 48%
  • Husted R 44%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Multi-mode: live phone, text and online
Poll by Rasmussen ReportsReleased Oct. 19, 2026901 likely votersmargin of error ±3
  • Husted R 49%
  • Brown D 47%
  • William B. Redpath L 1%
  • Greg Levy I 1%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Telephone and online
Poll by InsiderAdvantageReleased Oct. 1, 20261,200 likely votersmargin of error ±2.83
  • Sherrod Brown D 44%
  • Jon Husted R 43%
  • William B. Redpath L 4%
  • Greg Levy I 2%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Mixed mode: panel and text
Poll by Suffolk University Political Research Centerfor USA TODAY Network OhioReleased Oct. 2, 2026500 likely votersmargin of error ±4.4
  • Sherrod Brown D 47%
  • Jon Husted R 44%
  • William B. Redpath L 2%
  • Greg Levy I 1%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Live telephone interviews
Poll by Marist PollReleased Sept. 29, 20261,298 registered votersmargin of error ±3.8
  • Brown D 51%
  • Husted R 43%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Multi-mode: live phone, text and online
Poll by Quantus InsightsReleased Sept. 24, 2026695 likely votersmargin of error ±4.2695 likely voters of 719 completed interviews, excluding 24 who said they would not vote.
  • Sherrod Brown D 45.6%
  • Jon Husted R 45.3%
  • Greg Levy I 2%
  • Bill Redpath L 1.1%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)SMS invitations to voter-file records

Ratings from other outlets DATA

OutletRatingAs ofSource
Inside ElectionsTilt DemocratSource (opens Inside Elections’s own page)
Split TicketLean DSource (opens Split Ticket’s own page)

Tally: 2 Lean D. A count of these outlets’ published ratings, not our rating.

Also rating races (we link, we do not show their ratings):

This race in the full ratings table → · Outlets and their terms

Polls measure opinion; they do not establish what government did, and a poll is not a forecast. All polls · How averages are computed · Pollsters and their terms · Ohio on Power & Politics