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Polls DATA

Minnesota U.S. Senate polls

Every public poll of this race we are allowed to show, newest first, each linked to the pollster’s own release.

4 polls shown. Averages are as of Oct. 30, 2026.

Average of the polls

No average is shown. Only one pollster has a poll in the last 30 days. An average needs at least 2.

How averages are computed

All polls, newest first

PollInterviewsSampleResultsRelease
Poll by Rasmussen Reports1,182 likely votersmargin of error ±3
  • Flanagan D 48%
  • Tafoya R 45%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Telephone and online
Poll by Rasmussen ReportsReleased Oct. 9, 2026856 likely votersmargin of error ±3
  • Flanagan D 48%
  • Tafoya R 45%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Telephone and online
Poll by InsiderAdvantageReleased Sept. 30, 20261,200 likely votersmargin of error ±2.95
  • Peggy Flanagan D 46%
  • Michele Tafoya R 45%
  • Rebecca Whiting L 2%
  • Marisa Simonetti I 1%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Mixed mode: text and online panel
Poll by Quantus InsightsReleased Sept. 11, 2026720 likely votersmargin of error ±4.2
  • Peggy Flanagan D 48.2%
  • Michele Tafoya R 44.4%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Not stated on the release page

Ratings from other outlets DATA

OutletRatingAs ofSource
Inside ElectionsLean DemocratSource (opens Inside Elections’s own page)
Split TicketLikely DSource (opens Split Ticket’s own page)

Tally: 1 Likely D, 1 Lean D. A count of these outlets’ published ratings, not our rating.

Also rating races (we link, we do not show their ratings):

This race in the full ratings table → · Outlets and their terms

Polls measure opinion; they do not establish what government did, and a poll is not a forecast. All polls · How averages are computed · Pollsters and their terms · Minnesota on Power & Politics