Iowa governor polls
Every public poll of this race we are allowed to show, newest first, each linked to the pollster’s own release.
6 polls shown. Averages are as of Nov. 5, 2026.
Average of the polls
- Rob Sand D50.6%2 polls
- Zach Lahn R45.0%2 polls
Rob Sand leads Zach Lahn by 5.6 points in the average.
Average of the latest poll from each of 2 pollsters with interviews ending Oct. 7, 2026 to Nov. 5, 2026, weighted by recency and sample size. No pollster is adjusted for lean. How averages are computed
Which polls and what weight
| Poll by | Interviews ended | Sample | Share of average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | Oct. 31, 2026 | 901 lv | 70.9% |
| Marist Poll | Oct. 11, 2026 | 1,100 lv | 29.1% |
Polls left out of the average:
- Emerson College Polling, interviews ended Oct. 6, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
- Suffolk University Political Research Center, interviews ended Oct. 4, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
- Marist Poll, interviews ended Sept. 20, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
- Emerson College Polling, interviews ended Sept. 1, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.
Average over time
- Rob Sand
- Zach Lahn
All polls, newest first
| Poll | Interviews | Sample | Results | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll by Rasmussen Reports | Released Nov. 2, 2026 | 901 likely votersmargin of error ±3 |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Telephone and online survey |
| Poll by Marist Poll | Released Oct. 15, 2026 | 1,100 likely votersmargin of error ±6.6All 1,100 Iowa registered voters interviewed; the release does not give the likely-voter subsample size. |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Multi-mode: live phone, text and online |
| Poll by Emerson College Pollingfor Nexstar Media | Released Oct. 9, 2026 | 650 likely votersmargin of error ±3.8 |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Text-to-web (voter file) plus online panel |
| Poll by Suffolk University Political Research Center | Released Oct. 7, 2026 | 500 likely votersmargin of error ±4.4 |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Live telephone interviews |
| Poll by Marist Poll | Released Sept. 22, 2026 | 1,050 registered votersmargin of error ±4.4 |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Multi-mode: live phone, text and online |
| Poll by Emerson College Pollingfor Nexstar Media | Released Sept. 3, 2026 | 750 likely votersmargin of error ±3.6 |
| Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Text-to-web (voter file) plus online panel |
Ratings from other outlets DATA
| Outlet | Rating | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections | Lean Democrat | Source (opens Inside Elections’s own page) |
Tally: 1 Lean D. A count of these outlets’ published ratings, not our rating.
Also rating races (we link, we do not show their ratings):
- See Cook Political Report (link only: opens Cook Political Report)
- See Sabato's Crystal Ball (link only: opens Sabato's Crystal Ball)
- See Decision Desk HQ / The Hill (link only: opens Decision Desk HQ / The Hill)
- See Silver Bulletin (link only: opens Silver Bulletin)
- See Race to the WH (link only: opens Race to the WH)
This race in the full ratings table → · Outlets and their terms
Polls measure opinion; they do not establish what government did, and a poll is not a forecast. All polls · How averages are computed · Pollsters and their terms · Iowa on Power & Politics
