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Polls DATA

Connecticut governor polls

Every public poll of this race we are allowed to show, newest first, each linked to the pollster’s own release.

3 polls shown. Averages are as of Oct. 31, 2026.

Average of the polls

  • Ned Lamont D54.9%2 polls
  • Ryan Fazio R38.0%2 polls

Ned Lamont leads Ryan Fazio by 16.9 points in the average.

Average of the latest poll from each of 2 pollsters with interviews ending Oct. 2, 2026 to Oct. 31, 2026, weighted by recency and sample size. No pollster is adjusted for lean. How averages are computed

Which polls and what weight
Poll byInterviews endedSampleShare of average
Emerson College PollingOct. 12, 2026800 lv44.7%
Quinnipiac University PollOct. 12, 20261,225 lv55.3%

Polls left out of the average:

  • Quinnipiac University Poll, interviews ended Sept. 14, 2026: Its last interview day is more than 30 days before the date of the average.

Average over time

Connecticut governor: average over timeLine chart of the poll average from Oct. 3, 2026 to Oct. 31, 2026. Latest: Ned Lamont 54.9; Ryan Fazio 38.0. Dots are single polls.35404550556065Oct. 3Oct. 15Oct. 31Quinnipiac University Poll, Oct. 12, 2026: Ned Lamont 58%Quinnipiac University Poll, Oct. 12, 2026: Ryan Fazio 38%Emerson College Polling, Oct. 12, 2026: Ned Lamont 51%Emerson College Polling, Oct. 12, 2026: Ryan Fazio 38%54.938.0
  • Ned Lamont
  • Ryan Fazio
Lines show the average as of each date, using only polls with interviews ended by then. Dots are single polls. Dates start Oct. 3, 2026.

All polls, newest first

PollInterviewsSampleResultsRelease
Poll by Quinnipiac University PollReleased Oct. 14, 20261,225 likely votersmargin of error ±3.8
  • Ned Lamont D 58%
  • Ryan Fazio R 38%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Live telephone (landline and cell)
Poll by Emerson College Pollingfor Nexstar MediaReleased Oct. 15, 2026800 likely votersmargin of error ±3.5
  • Ned Lamont D 51%
  • Ryan Fazio R 38%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Text-to-web (voter file) plus online panel
Poll by Quinnipiac University PollReleased Sept. 16, 20261,288 likely votersmargin of error ±3.8
  • Ned Lamont D 55%
  • Ryan Fazio R 38%
Pollster’s release (opens the pollster’s own page)Live telephone (landline and cell)

Ratings from other outlets DATA

OutletRatingAs ofSource
Inside ElectionsSolid DemocratSource (opens Inside Elections’s own page)

Tally: 1 Solid D. A count of these outlets’ published ratings, not our rating.

Also rating races (we link, we do not show their ratings):

This race in the full ratings table → · Outlets and their terms

Polls measure opinion; they do not establish what government did, and a poll is not a forecast. All polls · How averages are computed · Pollsters and their terms · Connecticut on Power & Politics